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the Death List  

High Risk Stocks

The Death List includes two stock portfolios that we think are risky business. Of course, we don’t know for sure that they’re heading down; so don’t sell them short based on our opinion. However, you might want to do a little extra due diligence if you own them. 

Last updated using data from 4/25/08, next scheduled update: 5/10/08

Death List #1: Death by Debt

These firms are on our Death by Debt list because they've built up huge debt that will be a drag on earnings and cash flow for years to come. We employed a variety of financial strength tests to pinpoint this list of potential losers.

Leverage Ratio: total assets divided by shareholders’ equity. A firm with no debt would have a leverage ratio of one, and the higher the debt, the higher the ratio.

    Recent
Price
Interest
Coverage
Leverage
Ratio
AHC A. H. Belo 9.74 -40.8 7.1
AMR AMR 7.61 -1.4 11.6
ATPG ATP Oil & Gas 27.85 1.3 7.4
CAR Avis Budget Group 12.95 -9.7 8.5
CKEC Carmike Cinemas 10.22 -4.6 8.2
CWST Casella Waste Systems 10.73 0.6 6.3
FUN Cedar Fair 23.00 -0.5 8.5
COKE Coca-Cola Bottling Company 59.02 0.8 10.7
FLE Fleetwood Enterprises 3.70 -2.3 9.9
HTC Hungarian Telephone and Cable 15.50 0.7 52.6
IHP IHOP 49.99 -0.1 9.7
JRCC James River Coal 22.34 -3.8 6.3
LVLT Level 3 Communications, Inc. 2.75 -0.4 10.7
MAXE Max & Erma's Restaurants 2.69 0.0 8.6
MV Metavante Technologies 19.96 -3.9 10.4
PBI Pitney Bowes 36.24 0.7 14.8
PRGX PRG-Schultz 9.96 -1.2 52.1
QRCP Quest Resource 8.96 0.0 7.4
RHD R.H. Donnelley 5.26 0.2 8.8
RCNI RCN 11.29 -2.3 9.4
THC Tenet Healthcare 5.46 0.3 155.4
TRMP Trump Entertainment Resorts 2.68 -7.8 9.9
LCC US Airways 7.06 -6.3 7.1

 

Death List #2: Death by Momentum
Too Hot Not to Cool Down

These overpriced stocks have gone too far, too fast! 

This list comes from a screen inspired by a series of occasional articles spotlighting overpriced stocks published by Barron’s in the mid-90s. The screen searches out stocks that are overvalued by a variety of measures, and have already doubled in price over the past 52 weeks.

 

Price

TFY P/E

P/Sales

P/Bk

BIDU Baidu.com 363.69 87 40.0 37.6
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical 34.76 93 28.3 17.1
FSLR First Solar 288.24 112 44.9 20.3
ILMN Illumina 79.01 67 10.8 10.0
ISRG Intuitive Surgical 279.78 55 16.0 11.0

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