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Investing Ideas for 2006
This
is a good time to sit back and reflect on what went right and what went
wrong in 2005. Here are
eleven
investing ideas for you to think about when you
plan your strategy for 2006.
Slow and Steady
When it comes to the stock market, the fable about the tortoise and the
hare is true. Successful investors get rich slowly. Avoid the temptation
to swing for the fences.
Put Compounding to
Work
Compounding means that you reinvest your returns rather than spending
them. Thanks to the power of compounding; a regular investment plan can
yield surprising results. For example, say you start with nothing and
invest $100 every month. Assuming 10 percent annual returns (roughly
equivalent to the overall market), you’ll have $21,000 after 10 years,
$77,000 after 20 years, and $228,000 if you stick with your plan for 30
years.
You can benefit from the
power of compounding by committing to an automatic investment plan. The
easiest way to do that is by setting up an account with a broker or mutual
fund that automatically deducts a fixed amount from your bank account
every month.
Take
a Long View
Avoid making decisions based on recent market action. All too often
investors pour money into hot markets just before they cool, and shun weak
markets primed to soar. The market can turn on a dime. You’ll often miss a
major move by the time you realize what has happened.
Avoid Underperforming
Stocks
Most stocks, even the good ones, drop in a down market. However a stock
heading down when everything else is going up signals risk. It’s possible
that insiders are dumping their shares in advance of bad news that hasn’t
yet been made public. Don’t overreact to a two or three day drop. But be
suspicious when your stock underperforms the market for an extended
period, say two weeks or longer.
Favor Strong Stocks
I know that we’re told to “buy low and sell high,” But, in fact, there is
considerable research showing that, all else equal, you’ll do better
buying stocks that have already outperformed the market than those hitting
new lows.
Ignore Market Gurus
It’s scary when you hear that the guru who predicted the last bull market
is now forecasting a crash. But, there’s always someone predicting just
about anything. Just because one of them got it right once doesn’t make
them Nostradamus. Make your decisions based on each firm’s fundamental
outlook, not on market predictions.
Avoid Decisions Based
on Interest Rate Predictions
Many smart people have gone broke by betting wrong on which way interest
rates, the price of gold, the value of the dollar, or oil prices are
heading. Avoid investments that depend on such predictions for success.
Consider Dividend
Stocks
Without dividends, the only way you make money on a stock is by selling to
someone else at a higher price. Of course, that’s my goal too. But
dividend-payers are the only stocks that pay you while you wait for them
to go up. Many consider dividend stocks boring, but you won’t when you see
your broker’s statements. According to Standard & Poor's, in 2004,
dividend payers returned 18% compared to 14%
for non-payers.
Diversify
It’s tempting to load up on stocks in today’s hot industry. In times past,
that strategy worked because once in favor, an industry often continued
its winning ways for years. No more. Now, an industry can turn cold
overnight.
Instead, reduce your
risk by diversifying. A sector is a major segment of the economy such as
industrials, consumer goods, healthcare, technology or financials. Avoid
investing more than 25 percent of your funds in any one sector.
An industry is a part of
a sector such as semiconductors (technology) or regional banks
(financials). Avoid investing more than 10 percent of your funds in any
one industry.
Research Stock Tips
It doesn’t matter whether your latest tip came from Warren Buffet, your
stockbroker, or from someone at the gym; they all require research. Even
the best tips may be for stocks that don’t match your investing style. The
American Association of Individual Investors (www.aaii.com)
is a great resource for learning how to research stocks. The group
sponsors local investing seminars and publishes a monthly magazine packed
with investing tutorials.
Don’t Check Stock
Prices During the Day
Stocks make short-term up and down moves for unfathomable reasons You’ll
drive yourself crazy checking on your stocks too often. If you hold fast
moving “rockets,” check prices daily after the market closes. Otherwise,
once a week is enough.
Thank
you for reading my columns. I
wish you a happy holiday and a prosperous new year.
published 12/25/05 |